Friday, 18 November 2016

2016 Four Nations - The Final

2016 Four Nations - The Final

Plenty has been said of England’s failure to reach this Final so I won’t bang on about it here.  All I will say is that I was deeply disappointed with the way the second half panned out.  I’m sure I wasn’t the only one who felt we still had a chance of winning the game when the lads went in for half time despite the disappointment of falling further behind thanks to the boot of Jonathan Thurston.

Maybe I just share his slightly pessimistic view on the game but I read Gary Schofield’s thoughts on the game in Rugby Leaguer and League Express earlier this week and I have to say that I totally agree with him on everything he said.  He’ll get a lot of stick for it no doubt but he’s clearly a very passionate England supporter and, like all of us, would like to see England be able to compete with the best on a regular basis.

I also believe that Wayne Bennett will be the man to lead England to next year’s World Cup but there has to be a clearly visible improvement in the team’s performances between now and then if they are to have any hopes of beating the top two sides in their own back yard.

Personally, just an appearance in next year’s World Cup Final would be an improvement and would show some sign of progression from our national team.  Actually winning the tournament though is still a just a pipe dream.

I must admit, I felt Anfield was an odd choice to stage a rugby league final.  However, the fact it can hold almost 55,000 spectators, and it is second only to Old Trafford in terms of capacity in the north west, AND almost double to size of any Super League ground in the country, I eventually came round to the idea of it being a good choice.

At least the RFL decided to host the Final within the rugby league heartlands and didn’t have any grand ideas of taking the game anywhere else for a change.  It should provide a good atmosphere for as the fans will be very close to the pitch and it will be interesting to see which of the two sides the crowd supports in the absence of a British team.

I found it interesting to read this week that the pitch will be shortened to just over 90 meters instead of the regulation 100.  That should make the kicking games tough for both sides and it will be interesting to see how many errors are made by either team in that respect.  It could come down to who makes fewer errors with the boot as to who eventually wins the game.

This will be my first Four Nations Final so I’m hoping for a much closer game than the last time I saw these opponents contests a final - the World Cup Final at Old Trafford three years ago!

AUSTRALIA vs NEW ZELAND
(Sunday, 20 November, Anfield, Liverpool, 2:30pm)

Australia

The Kangaroos have breezed their way into this weekend’s final with a perfect record of three wins from their three games and will no doubt be odds on favourites with the bookies to win their third Four Nations trophy.

There is no question that Australia have been the best team in this competition but, worryingly for Mal Meninga’s side, New Zealand have been the team that have come closest to beating the them.  I still believe Australia will be too strong for the Kiwis and should win the game comfortably.

As an England fan I was sucked into that warped belief that the “Wall Of White” might actually hold out against the Kangaroos after that first 25 minutes or so, but as soon as Australia got a whiff of the grass behind that not so solid wall they took full advantage and were able to open the proverbial floodgates and wrap the game up with three converted tries in 12 blistering second half minutes.

Australia have huge strength in depth and the fact they will be without Sam Thaiday won’t be a problem as they have enough players to step in and take his place.  It’s expected that Shannon Boyd could make a return to the 17 in his place after missing out against England.

With Jonathan Thurston set to retire after next year’s World Cup this will be his final swansong on English soil for his country so the three-time Golden Boot winner will be keen to end on a high and I expect him to be pulling the strings for his team throughout Sunday’s match.

As you’ll see from my prediction below I expect the Kangaroos to win the game and retain the trophy they last won in 2011 and with it the number one spot in the world rankings.

New Zealand

David Kidwell’s players could not need a better reason to prove themselves after their shock 18-18 draw with Scotland last Friday.  If Scotland had have been able to hold on and snatch victory in that game New Zealand wouldn’t have even been in this Final as England’s 18 point defeat to Australia would still have been enough for them to sneak into Anfield through the back door.

Ironically it was probably the defeat to Australia in Coventry which saw the Kiwi’s best performance.  If they show anything like the kind of performance they pulled off in the final ten minutes or so of that game they will be in with a real shout of beating the Aussies.

Thomas Leuluai will be absent for the Kiwi’s this weekend after picking up a knock against Scotland, but it will be up to their main man Shaun Johnson to have an outstanding game from the off and captain Jesse Bromwich to lead from the front if they want to become the first side to win back-to-back Four Nations.

The New Zealanders also have the added bonus of knowing how to beat Australia in big games as well.  I wouldn’t read into the fact they have been unable to overcome their Antipodean neighbours in any of their three meetings so far this season.  We just have to look at the two Four Nations finals that the Kiwi’s have won in the past and the World Cup Final in 2008 to know that we shouldn’t write this side off.

However, the Kiwi’s have never fared particularly well in big finals played in the Northern Hemisphere and I have a hunch that this will be no different.

MY PREDICTION – Australia to win by 8+ points

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